Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Silver Stars | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (106-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Silver Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hammon | 36 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Lawson-Wade | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Hodges | 28 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| M. Snow | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Battle | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| H. Darling | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Riley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Kelly | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 31 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 25 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Swanier | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Lilley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter