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2010-08-25

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Thompson * 38 5-15 0-3 6-6 6 1 1 3 1 16 11 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 37 7-15 2-4 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 18 8 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 35 4-10 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 5 8 2 -
Noelle Quinn * 29 1-6 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 21 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 3 0 2 4 5 -
Kristi Toliver 31 6-9 3-4 1-1 0 5 1 0 4 16 9 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauren Jackson * 35 6-14 0-2 5-5 9 3 2 1 0 17 18 -
Sue Bird * 35 4-9 1-2 0-1 5 12 2 1 3 9 17 -
Swin Cash * 32 9-14 0-2 2-4 5 1 0 0 3 20 9 -
Camille Smith * 28 5-8 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 11 5 -
Tanisha Wright * 26 3-4 1-1 1-2 3 3 0 1 3 8 8 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jana Vesela 12 4-4 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
Le'coe Willingham 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ashley Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter