Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charde Houston * | 39 | 5-20 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 38 | 9-21 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 27 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Briann January | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jene Morris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter