Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abrosimova | 26 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Vesela | 25 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Wright | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Cash | 25 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Robinson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Bird | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| L. Jackson | 15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Bishop | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Lacey | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Willingham | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lilley | 33 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| B. Smith | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Holmes | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Braxton | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Swanier | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 16 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Dupree | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter