Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (73-78). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 25 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 25 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jana Vesela | 25 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Abby Bishop | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alison Lacey | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 15 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Lilley | 32 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Smith | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter