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2010-08-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% - โœ—
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 โœ— (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles 34 7-12 0-0 4-6 14 1 1 2 2 18 22 -
J. Perkins 31 7-13 1-5 0-0 4 3 3 2 1 15 13 -
D. Canty 25 7-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 3 17 9 -
M. Bass 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 4 2 -
T. Young 20 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 5 1 0 3 8 9 -
Epiphanny Prince 19 4-4 0-0 6-8 2 4 4 0 2 14 18 -
C. Kraayeveld 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
S. Murphy 15 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 3 2 -
E. Thorn 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 26 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 4 1 2 2 5 11 -
Angel McCoughtry 26 8-17 0-4 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 16 2 -
I. Castro 25 8-15 0-3 3-4 0 1 0 0 2 19 3 -
S. Lehning 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 0 1 -
E. de Souza 20 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
Y. Leuchanka 20 4-10 1-1 0-0 11 2 3 0 4 9 11 -
C. Miller 19 4-5 0-1 2-2 0 4 1 0 2 10 8 -
A. Herrington 15 2-7 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
A. Bales 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 2 -
B. Raven 13 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 5 -

* = starter