Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 34 | 8-12 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Briann January | 22 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joy Cheek | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jene Morris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Mitchell * | 35 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Essence Carson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter