Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (84-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Dupree | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Swanier | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Penicheiro | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | - |
| T. Thompson | 36 | 14-22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 20 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 33 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| N. Quinn | 32 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 32 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| K. Toliver | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Riley | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Mokango | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter