Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +38 (107-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Braxton | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Holmes | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Lilley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Pierson | 28 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Powell | 27 | 8-10 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 27 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. McCarville | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 15 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| E. Carson | 13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Spencer | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Greene | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Blue | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter