Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| L. Warren * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | - |
| K. Huelsman * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Lowery | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| P. Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Searcy | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Perry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Benson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vaughn * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 37 | - |
| I. Thomas * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| L. Stephenson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Y. Gates * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Parker * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Wright | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Wilks | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Davis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Toyloy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dixon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter