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2010-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% -
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.5% 18.5% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 1 2 11 20 -
M. Johnson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 16 26 -
C. Johnson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 7 15 -
L. Warren * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 0 4 4 14 -
K. Huelsman * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 10 -
R. Lowery 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 13 15 -
P. Williams 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 11 14 -
D. Searcy 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Perry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
L. Fabrizius 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Kavanaugh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Benson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 4 0 2 28 37 -
I. Thomas * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 8 18 -
L. Stephenson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 13 20 -
Y. Gates * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
J. Parker * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
C. Wright 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 4 7 -
D. Wilks 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
L. Davis 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
S. Toyloy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dixon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter