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2010-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% +2.4 โœ“ (15.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 โœ“ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +18 (73-55). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derek Needham 39 6-18 2-6 1-2 4 5 1 0 5 15 2 -
Anthony Johnson 34 8-16 0-0 3-5 7 0 2 4 1 19 15 -
Colin Nickerson 34 2-9 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 1 0 6 3 -
L. Jordan 28 3-7 0-1 2-2 10 2 1 0 0 8 14 -
Ryan Olander 24 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
M. Evanovich 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
Sean Crawford 12 0-3 0-3 4-4 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Jamal Turner 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. O'Sullivan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gary Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Grzeck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Carter 28 5-7 2-3 4-6 10 0 0 1 3 16 17 -
Antoine Young 28 4-14 1-2 2-3 1 5 0 0 1 11 2 -
K. Lawson Jr. 26 7-14 1-1 2-2 8 0 0 3 0 17 14 -
Ethan Wragge 23 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 4 -
C. Witter 23 0-4 0-1 8-8 2 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Josh Jones 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 8 9 -
C. Harriman 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
Darryl Ashford 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Wayne Runnels 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 -
Kaleb Korver 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Andrew Bock 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Matthew Dorwart 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Derek Sebastian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter