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2010-08-10

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“
Margin 57.9% 42.1% -1.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsay Whalen * 36 3-10 2-2 3-4 4 4 2 0 6 11 5 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 36 4-8 0-0 4-6 12 1 1 3 3 12 18 -
Seimone Augustus * 34 8-13 1-1 3-4 8 1 1 0 2 20 15 -
Monica Wright * 31 5-12 1-3 1-2 1 0 3 0 1 12 3 -
Nicky Anosike * 29 2-6 0-0 3-4 11 0 1 0 0 7 13 -
Charde Houston 12 2-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
Alexis Hornbuckle 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 2 -
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Kristen Mann 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 38 5-13 2-9 0-0 3 8 1 3 6 12 8 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 36 7-18 2-4 3-5 5 4 1 0 0 19 11 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 31 8-10 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 17 7 -
Michelle Snow * 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 1 1 5 13 -
Roneeka Hodges * 23 2-8 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 0 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 18 1-5 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
Ruth Riley 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
Crystal Kelly 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Helen Darling 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter