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2010-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% -
Log Adjusted 67.9% 32.1% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sloan 39 4-17 2-5 1-2 1 4 1 0 3 11 -3 -
D. Harris 33 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 4 1 0 3 2 6 -
B. Davis 31 8-17 0-0 1-1 15 3 3 2 2 17 21 -
D. Loubeau 30 5-10 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
B.J. Holmes 27 2-9 0-5 3-3 2 1 3 0 0 7 4 -
K. Middleton 23 1-6 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
R. Turner 15 1-1 0-0 1-5 2 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
N. Walkup 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Hibbert 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 38 7-17 1-5 0-0 6 1 3 0 3 15 5 -
K. Grant 33 2-7 1-4 0-0 6 1 2 1 1 5 7 -
J. Johnson 32 5-15 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 3 0 11 5 -
C. Kramer 31 6-10 1-2 4-4 7 1 3 0 2 17 16 -
L. Jackson 27 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 2 3 -
D.J. Byrd 19 4-5 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
K. Barlow 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 -
R. Smith 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
P. Bade 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
J. Hart 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter