Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (97-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Fowles | 32 | 14-23 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 26 | - |
| J. Perkins | 28 | 9-17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| E. Prince | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Canty | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Thorn | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Murphy | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Thomas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 12-19 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 26 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter