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2010-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 79.3% 20.7% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (22.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.3% 90.7% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +22 (87-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 40 3-13 0-6 2-2 3 3 1 1 1 8 2 -
S. Gray 37 3-11 3-9 0-0 0 8 1 0 2 9 5 -
R. Sacre 34 8-12 0-0 1-3 8 0 4 2 3 17 16 -
E. Harris 31 8-12 0-1 8-13 8 0 0 0 4 24 16 -
D. Goodson 20 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -
K. Olynyk 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
G.J. Vilarino 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 3 6 -
B. Kong 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Gibbs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Johnson 40 11-16 4-6 5-7 14 0 0 1 0 31 30 -
K. Joseph 37 0-3 0-2 5-6 7 3 0 0 5 5 7 -
A. Rautins 31 7-13 5-9 5-6 4 4 2 0 1 24 20 -
B. Triche 29 5-9 2-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 13 7 -
R. Jackson 25 2-5 0-0 1-2 9 4 0 1 1 5 13 -
S. Jardine 23 4-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 9 5 -
D. Riley 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -

* = starter