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2010-03-20

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Lucas 0 7-18 2-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 16 2 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 2-14 0-3 7-8 2 6 4 0 2 11 7 -
K. Gross 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Shegog 0 9-10 0-0 1-4 9 2 1 1 1 19 21 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 1-7 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 1 0 2 5 -
L. Broomfield 0 7-15 0-0 2-4 14 0 4 0 3 16 16 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Frieson 0 8-19 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 3 4 16 13 -
H. Bowman 0 7-15 0-0 0-1 5 2 3 1 1 14 9 -
C. Vandersloot 0 4-9 0-4 1-2 2 15 5 1 6 9 17 -
T. Shives 0 5-8 4-6 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 16 11 -
J. Bekkering 0 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -

* = starter