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2010-03-20

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
ELO 64.9% 35.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
I. Lucas 0 7-18 2-6 - 4 1 2 3 16 2
C. DeGraffenreid 0 2-14 -3 7-8 2 6 4 2 11 7
K. Gross 0 -1 -1 - 1 -2
C. Shegog 0 9-10 - 1-4 9 2 1 1 1 19 21
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 1-7 -1 - 5 4 1 2 5
L. Broomfield 0 7-15 - 2-4 14 4 3 16 16

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
V. Frieson 0 8-19 - - 13 3 1 3 4 16 13
H. Bowman 0 7-15 - -1 5 2 3 1 1 14 9
C. Vandersloot 0 4-9 -4 1-2 2 15 5 1 6 9 17
T. Shives 0 5-8 4-6 2-3 3 1 1 16 11
J. Bekkering 0 1-3 -1 - 2 1 1 2 1

* = starter