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2010-03-20

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ginyard * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 6 15 -
W. Graves * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 17 19 -
J. Henson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 3 1 12 27 -
D. Thompson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 3 8 14 -
L. Drew II * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 4 5 9 -
D. Strickland 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 8 14 -
T. Zeller 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 7 14 -
L. McDonald 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
T. Wear 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
J. Watts 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 18 26 -
D. Bost * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 0 3 14 23 -
J. Varnado * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 4 2 14 26 -
R. Johnson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 13 20 -
K. Augustus * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 4 8 -
P. Turner 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 9 16 -
R. Benock 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Lewis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter