Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginyard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| W. Graves * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Henson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 27 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Drew II * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Strickland | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Zeller | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| L. McDonald | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Wear | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Watts | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 26 | - |
| D. Bost * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
| J. Varnado * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 26 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| K. Augustus * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. Turner | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| R. Benock | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter