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2010-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Snaer 34 4-9 1-3 0-3 4 2 1 0 3 9 4 -
S. Alabi 31 5-12 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 13 8 -
L. Loucks 31 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 7 8 -
C. Singleton 30 3-7 0-4 2-4 4 2 0 2 1 8 8 -
D. Kitchen 24 2-5 0-1 3-5 4 5 4 0 2 7 13 -
D. Dulkys 23 5-11 4-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 14 6 -
R. Reid 20 0-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 -2 -
X. Gibson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Shannon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 39 5-10 1-2 6-9 8 3 3 0 2 17 19 -
S. Gray 38 6-11 1-5 2-2 7 2 1 1 5 15 10 -
E. Harris 34 5-10 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 2 2 13 8 -
D. Goodson 34 2-3 0-0 5-6 5 2 0 0 2 9 11 -
R. Sacre 30 3-8 0-0 7-11 9 2 0 1 2 13 15 -
K. Olynyk 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Kong 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Foster 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
G.J. Vilarino 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter