Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | +27.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +32.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +29 (73-44). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Smith | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Calvin | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Washington | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Townsend | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Kennedy | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| George Davis | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dominic Moore | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Barnett | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ootesey | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Montgomery | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stephan Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Lasker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 35 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jon Scheyer | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 29 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Davidson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter