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2010-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 34 6-13 5-9 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 17 10 -
A. Koch 24 2-4 0-1 7-7 6 0 1 1 3 11 12 -
J. Moran 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 2 -
K. Ahelegbe 23 3-6 1-2 6-6 2 4 0 0 3 13 10 -
K. Dunham 20 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 3 5 -
J. Koch 18 0-3 0-1 5-6 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
L. O'Rear 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
J. Eglseder 18 4-9 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 1 9 10 -
M. Sonnen 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
A. James 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 36 5-15 1-4 2-2 4 5 2 0 0 13 9 -
O. Bellfield 36 5-12 3-8 0-1 1 5 0 1 0 13 8 -
C. Stanback 32 4-11 2-4 1-2 6 1 1 0 2 11 6 -
M. Shaw 22 5-6 2-2 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 14 12 -
A. Marshall 22 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 4 0 4 6 5 -
K. Wallace 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
B. Massamba 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Hawkins 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
D. Santee 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. Jones Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter