Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Qvale | 37 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| A. Johnson | 35 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7 | - |
| D. Selvig | 32 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 31 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| W. Cherry | 27 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Taylor | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Young | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McGillis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Stockton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| V. Banny | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Ward | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 40 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. Hobson | 38 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| P. McDonald | 36 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Gary | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Brown | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Garth | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Adams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Fenton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter