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Portland Pilots 73
@
Northern Colorado Bears 81
2010-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 73.4% 26.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% - ✗

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 10 1 0 2 19 30 -
J. Stohl * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 9 13 -
R. Smeulders * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 5 10 -
E. Niedermeyer * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 12 14 -
K. Knutson * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
N. Mitrovic 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 9 13 -
L. Sikma 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 9 16 -
J. Hannibal 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
T. Ito 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 20 27 -
Y. Bonner * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 1 2 5 9 -
C. Kaba * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 1 1 14 22 -
T. Montgomery * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 13 19 -
M. Proctor * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 13 14 -
N. Kingman 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 15 -
E. Lloyd 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Osborne 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 10 -

* = starter