Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sumner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Schneider * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 33 | - |
| J. Ludwick * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. Kitts * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| S. Hess | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| K. Gaillard | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Rum | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Howard II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pavloff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginyard * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| L. Drew II * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 33 | - |
| J. Henson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - |
| W. Graves * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Zeller | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| D. Strickland | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| L. McDonald | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Wear | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Petree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gallagher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter