Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horner * | 34 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| F. Degand * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Gonzalez * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Wood * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Howell | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwaine Jones * | 40 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 8-15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| C. Howard * | 39 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. Fitzpatrick * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Famous * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Crater * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Gilchrist | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A. Rivas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Noriega | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter