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2010-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 โœ“ (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +29 (90-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Joseph 34 4-10 4-7 2-2 0 1 1 1 4 14 3 -
L. Westbrook 32 6-13 2-6 3-5 2 3 1 1 2 17 9 -
B. Hoffarber 31 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
R. Sampson III 28 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 3 6 2 -
C. Iverson 19 3-5 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 1 1 6 5 -
D. Johnson 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 2 2 0 7 12 -
P. Carter 17 1-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Bostick 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
J. Cobbs 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
R. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Allen 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Buford 39 5-8 2-2 1-2 3 4 3 1 3 13 13 -
J. Diebler 39 6-12 5-11 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 19 11 -
E. Turner 39 12-18 3-5 4-5 11 6 0 2 4 31 28 -
D. Lighty 39 8-14 2-3 2-4 7 5 1 0 1 20 18 -
K. Madsen 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 0 3 -
D. Lauderdale 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Z. Sarikopoulos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Simmons 1 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
P.J. Hill 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Kecman 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter