Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Varnado | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| D. Bost | 40 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Johnson | 38 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| B. Stewart | 32 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| P. Turner | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Augustus | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Osby | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Bledsoe | 43 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Wall | 40 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| P. Patterson | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Dodson | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Cousins | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Orton | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Miller | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Liggins | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter