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2010-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Varnado 40 8-13 0-0 2-4 9 0 2 5 1 18 20 -
D. Bost 40 6-15 2-6 2-5 6 5 1 0 3 16 10 -
R. Johnson 38 8-15 4-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 20 10 -
B. Stewart 32 3-9 3-6 2-2 10 2 0 0 2 11 12 -
P. Turner 30 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
R. Benock 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
K. Augustus 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 2 3 2 2 -
R. Osby 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Lewis 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Bledsoe 43 7-12 2-4 2-5 3 1 2 1 2 18 11 -
J. Wall 40 5-15 1-4 6-9 6 9 5 0 4 17 18 -
P. Patterson 38 6-11 0-2 3-4 6 2 1 2 0 15 15 -
D. Dodson 28 1-7 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Cousins 26 3-6 0-0 4-6 10 1 0 2 3 10 14 -
D. Orton 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
D. Miller 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
P. Stevenson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Liggins 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
R. Harris 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter