Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (110-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Augustus | 26 | 5-18 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -2 | - |
| M. Wright | 26 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 7 | - |
| C. Houston | 26 | 12-23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| N. Anosike | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 9-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Braxton | 18 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| T. Lilley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Holmes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter