Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -3 (124-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 44 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 33 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 40 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 39 | 8-23 | 1-10 | 14-14 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 32 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 40 | 14-23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 19 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Charde Houston | 26 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rashanda McCants | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nuria Martinez | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter