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2010-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +16 (64-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 40 2-10 0-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 5 0 -
W. Harris 35 3-10 2-5 1-1 5 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
J. Scott 32 5-9 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 3 13 8 -
D. Barnes 32 2-10 1-5 3-6 2 4 0 0 3 8 1 -
J. Glynn 26 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 3 0 1 8 12 -
M. Gomillia 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
O. Tims 14 0-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -3 -
A. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Holmes 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Falke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crow 40 1-2 0-1 1-3 6 4 3 2 2 3 14 -
A. Mitchell 38 4-11 2-8 3-5 3 6 0 0 1 13 10 -
G. Clavell 37 7-10 0-0 7-8 5 4 0 0 2 21 18 -
C. Allmond 34 6-14 3-9 4-5 6 1 2 0 3 19 11 -
P. Brown 20 1-5 1-3 1-2 8 0 0 3 2 4 8 -
L. Pevehouse 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
A. Bootle 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Murray 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Zulu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter