Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✓ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -32 (91-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 25 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| K. Swanier | 22 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Lilley | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Smith | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Holmes | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 31 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Crossley | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Black | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Holt | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Lacy | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Jones | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 14 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
* = starter