Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 32 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Beal | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Walker | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 20 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| F. Ezeli | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Tchiengang | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Goulbourne | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. McClellan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 38 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Bost | 36 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Varnado | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| K. Augustus | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| P. Turner | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Osby | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Benock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Reik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter