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2010-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Scott 35 10-15 1-2 0-1 4 3 2 0 2 21 13 -
J. Dews 31 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
R. Johnson 28 3-6 0-0 8-10 8 0 0 2 1 14 17 -
A. Thomas 26 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 3 6 -
M. Grant 24 4-10 3-5 6-6 2 4 0 0 2 17 11 -
D. Jones 22 2-9 1-1 2-4 2 0 1 1 0 7 2 -
J. Gamble 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
C. McGowan 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Adams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 39 8-15 5-9 6-6 8 6 0 1 1 27 26 -
J. Scheyer 38 4-10 2-6 6-9 6 4 3 1 2 16 18 -
N. Smith 31 6-14 0-4 0-1 2 3 1 0 3 12 1 -
B. Zoubek 28 1-1 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 1 1 7 13 -
L. Thomas 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
M. Plumlee 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 4 11 -
M. Plumlee 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Dawkins 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
R. Kelly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter