Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (97-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 32 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Black | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 26 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Lacy | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Holt | 15 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Braxton | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Crossley | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| P. Taylor | 35 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 25 | - |
| C. Dupree | 35 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 28 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Lilley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter