Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 31 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Johnson | 29 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| P. Williams | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Lowery | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| L. Warren | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Searcy | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Benson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Perry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Love | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Holloway | 31 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| D. Jackson | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. McLean | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Lyons | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Frease | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Walsh | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Redford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter