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2010-03-12

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (10.3 off)
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Calegari 38 6-15 3-6 3-4 3 3 0 0 3 18 6 -
R. Howley 32 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 1 0 5 11 -
J. Harden 32 7-12 1-2 5-7 7 0 0 0 3 20 12 -
J. Welch 27 5-13 1-2 6-6 4 2 0 0 2 17 8 -
T. Lowenthal 26 0-1 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 0 0 7 -
R. Sypkens 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Ranger 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
A. Malik 10 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
J. Floyd 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nunnally 36 6-10 2-3 3-4 9 5 0 0 2 17 19 -
O. Johnson 30 5-10 1-3 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 14 9 -
J. Powell 26 5-7 3-5 9-10 1 2 1 0 3 22 16 -
W. Brew 26 3-5 1-2 2-3 1 4 3 0 3 9 9 -
J. Serna 22 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
G. Somogyi 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 0 2 7 -
J. Joyner 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Weiner 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 3 -
J. Pastorek 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
P. Roemer 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Devenny 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter