Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nash | 38 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Thompson | 37 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Shurna | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Crawford | 33 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Curletti | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 37 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 12-17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| K. Grant | 30 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Barlow | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Jackson | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Kramer | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Hart | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Smith | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Bade | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter