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2010-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 82.7% 17.3% -
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% -
Margin 77.3% 22.7% -6.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Log Adjusted 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Dunn 38 9-17 4-10 4-4 3 0 2 0 2 26 12 -
T. Carter 37 3-9 0-2 2-6 1 4 0 0 6 8 -2 -
E. Udoh 33 9-13 0-1 0-0 11 3 2 0 5 18 16 -
Q. Acy 27 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 0 6 10 -
A.J. Walton 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Lomers 20 2-4 0-0 8-9 3 0 1 2 1 12 13 -
A. Jones 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
F. Ellis 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
O. Griffin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 38 10-17 3-7 1-1 1 7 1 1 3 24 14 -
D. Sutton 37 5-9 0-0 4-7 14 3 4 0 2 14 24 -
J. Pullen 36 7-13 5-10 7-10 2 1 2 0 1 26 17 -
C. Kelly 33 3-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 4 8 -1 -
J. Samuels 23 2-6 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
W. Judge 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
L. Colon 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
M. Irving 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. McGruder 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter