Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boynton | 37 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| C. Parsons | 35 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| V. Macklin | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Walker | 29 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| A. Tyus | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Werner | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Shipman | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Murphy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Varnado | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Bost | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Stewart | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| R. Johnson | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P. Turner | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Augustus | 20 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Osby | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Reik | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter