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Illinois Fighting Illini 58
@
Wisconsin Badgers 54
2010-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% - ✗
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 ✗ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% - ✗
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - ✗

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -4 (54-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 40 6-15 1-3 0-0 5 8 1 0 3 13 9 -
M. Davis 39 4-6 0-0 2-3 10 0 0 2 1 10 15 -
M. Tisdale 35 8-10 2-2 3-5 8 1 0 1 3 21 18 -
B. Cole 34 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 0 3 -
D.J. Richardson 29 3-6 3-4 3-5 4 0 0 1 6 12 5 -
B. Paul 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 1 2 -
J. Jordan 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
T. Griffey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Keller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 40 1-10 1-6 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 5 1 -
J. Leuer 34 5-13 2-3 2-5 7 1 0 1 1 14 9 -
J. Taylor 33 3-9 2-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 8 9 -
T. Hughes 32 4-16 4-10 2-4 1 2 5 0 1 14 5 -
K. Nankivil 28 2-6 1-4 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
R. Evans 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
T. Jarmusz 9 0-1 0-1 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
R. Wilson 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Bruesewitz 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter