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2010-03-12

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: BYU Cougars -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield 36 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 9 1 0 2 5 7 -
T. Willis 36 5-9 2-5 6-6 2 1 1 0 2 18 11 -
C. Stanback 33 6-11 3-8 2-2 6 1 1 1 4 17 11 -
A. Marshall 30 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 3 0 1 3 4 7 -
B. Massamba 24 5-6 0-0 3-5 6 1 1 0 1 13 14 -
K. Wallace 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Santee 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
S. Jones Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Shaw 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Hawkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 36 7-20 4-11 12-12 3 4 1 0 4 30 14 -
N. Hartsock 34 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
M. Loyd Jr. 30 5-8 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
B. Davies 29 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Abouo 26 3-6 1-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
J. Emery 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 8 8 -
J. Tavernari 17 1-5 1-4 1-2 0 1 2 0 2 4 0 -
C. Miles 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter