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2010-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.6 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 40 5-9 5-8 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 16 11 -
M. Harris 39 8-15 3-5 7-8 6 4 1 1 3 26 20 -
Z. Novak 37 3-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
D. Sims 36 7-13 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 4 16 8 -
L. Lucas-Perry 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Morris 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
Z. Gibson 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Buford 40 6-13 1-3 2-3 6 4 3 0 4 15 11 -
E. Turner 40 6-15 3-3 3-4 3 8 1 2 4 18 13 -
D. Lighty 40 7-11 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 15 11 -
J. Diebler 40 4-8 2-5 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 11 4 -
K. Madsen 24 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
D. Lauderdale 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Simmons 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter