Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (57-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Meyinsse | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Scott | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 31 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Evans | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Sene | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jonke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Tat | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 38 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| N. Smith | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Singler | 32 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Thomas | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kelly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter