Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Joseph | 43 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 41 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Sampson III | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Iverson | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Bostick | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Carter | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Cobbs | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Allen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 42 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| D. Green | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Lucious | 30 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Summers | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Kebler | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Roe | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| D. Nix | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sherman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter