Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (108-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 33 | - |
| T. White | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Lawson | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 28 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Hightower | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Griffin | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 18 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 16 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Walker | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Gardin | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 19 | - |
| I. Castro | 38 | 13-24 | 1-8 | 5-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 18 | - |
| S. Lehning | 38 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 33 | 11-27 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 14 | - |
| E. de Souza | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| A. Herrington | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Miller | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Raven | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Miller | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter