Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (89-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 38 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| T. Smith | 36 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 10-18 | 2-9 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| T. Lilley | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milton-Jones | 38 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 17 | - |
| N. Quinn | 34 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Thompson | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Toliver | 28 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Riley | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| C. Mokango | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter