Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (97-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCarville | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| N. Powell | 22 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 19 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Spencer | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Blue | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Carson | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter