Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Langhorne | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| L. Harding | 36 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Smith | 34 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| M. Coleman | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Currie | 19 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| N. Sanford | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Melvin | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Houts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| P. Taylor | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter