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2010-07-01

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 โœ— (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 35 6-13 3-7 0-0 4 4 2 0 4 15 8 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 32 3-10 0-0 0-0 1 1 4 0 5 6 -3 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 30 5-10 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 11 5 -
Michelle Snow * 30 7-12 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 1 2 16 11 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade * 29 4-10 1-5 3-3 2 5 0 0 2 12 7 -
Roneeka Hodges 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 3 8 -
Helen Darling 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Crystal Kelly 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noelle Quinn * 35 6-9 1-1 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 13 14 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 35 4-5 0-1 4-4 2 4 0 0 3 12 10 -
Tina Thompson * 34 8-13 3-5 5-6 10 3 2 3 1 24 28 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 30 3-11 2-2 2-2 2 3 2 0 7 10 -1 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 22 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Kristi Toliver 25 2-8 1-6 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 6 6 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 2 4 3 -
Chanel Mokango 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter