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2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +19 (86-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bradley 37 5-16 0-2 4-6 3 4 2 0 0 14 7 -
J. Mason 36 3-5 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 3 2 9 14 -
D. James 34 5-10 2-3 6-8 12 1 2 1 1 18 23 -
G. Johnson 23 1-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
D. Pittman 21 7-13 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 14 7 -
J. Hamilton 20 2-7 1-4 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 6 1 -
J. Brown 16 1-7 1-6 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Lucas 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Hill 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Udoh 36 9-14 0-1 7-8 8 3 1 1 0 25 24 -
T. Carter 34 7-14 3-7 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 20 10 -
A. Jones 28 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Q. Acy 26 1-1 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
A.J. Walton 22 3-6 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
L. Dunn 22 7-12 1-1 4-6 9 7 3 0 4 19 22 -
J. Lomers 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 4 2 2 3 -
F. Ellis 8 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
N. Dennis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G. Crump 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Jefferson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sekelja 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Griffin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Field 0 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
K. Griffin 0 3-7 0-1 2-2 3 9 4 0 3 8 14 -
M. Medlock 0 6-9 0-0 2-6 11 1 1 0 4 14 14 -
S. Washington 0 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
K. Hayden 0 4-9 1-4 1-4 1 0 0 1 0 10 3 -

* = starter