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2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 1.6% 98.4% -
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% -
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 10.0% 90.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 35 4-8 1-1 2-4 4 3 3 1 2 11 12 -
M. Lyons 32 7-14 0-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 0 15 8 -
T. Fow 29 6-11 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 17 7 -
T. Fletcher 28 5-6 1-2 1-1 2 4 1 1 1 12 13 -
G. Parker 24 2-6 2-3 0-1 3 1 1 1 2 6 4 -
M. McLain 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
A. Merriex 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Bohannon 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Brooks 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
S. Hempsey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Stewart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hobson 39 9-13 1-4 9-11 15 2 3 0 2 28 33 -
D. Gary 33 3-7 0-0 14-15 4 4 1 0 3 20 19 -
R. Martinez 33 3-12 3-11 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 9 1 -
P. McDonald 33 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
A.J. Hardeman 21 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 2 6 4 -
N. Garth 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
W. Brown 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
C. Adams 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Fenton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Dennis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter