Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.8 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 35 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Lyons | 32 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Fow | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| G. Parker | 24 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. McLain | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Merriex | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Brooks | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Stewart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hobson | 39 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 33 | - |
| D. Gary | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 14-15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| R. Martinez | 33 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| P. McDonald | 33 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Garth | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Brown | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Adams | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Fenton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Dennis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter