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2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 18.0% 82.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +7 (59-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fuller 39 5-10 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 1 2 10 12 -
C. Payne 39 9-16 5-10 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 25 10 -
E. May 36 2-10 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 -2 -
M. Gatens 34 3-10 0-5 1-1 4 4 2 0 3 7 4 -
J. Cole 23 2-5 0-0 0-1 6 2 1 2 4 4 6 -
A. Brommer 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
D. Bawinkel 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Cougill 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Lickliter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 40 1-3 1-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 5 9 -
M. Harris 38 6-14 1-5 9-10 9 2 3 0 5 22 17 -
Z. Novak 37 1-8 1-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 1 -
D. Sims 30 6-13 1-4 1-2 4 0 1 1 2 14 5 -
D. Morris 19 0-1 0-1 0-1 3 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
L. Lucas-Perry 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
Z. Gibson 11 2-4 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
A. Wright 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter